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Tim Knight Says Nothing's Broken for the Bears, the Market Just Won't Fall
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Chapters12 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Market sentiment and risk management
- Market weak, no follow-through on selling
- Nine trading days until election
- Trimmed risk to 120%
- 25 short positions, none large
2:06lesson
Chart analysis and bearish trends
- Spider up 0.3%, trend line still broken
- GE down 3.12%, GM down 7%
- Diamonds up 0.75%, covered at profit
- XLF strong but below overhead supply
4:03lesson
Market dynamics and earnings impact
- Semiconductors up, but not as expected
- EWY shorted and covered at profit
- Socks up 0.5%, close to support
- AI uncertainty affecting market
6:08lesson
Technical analysis and support levels
- XLK down, failed to break lifetime high
- Cubes down, lower highs observed
- Emerging markets up slightly
- FXI short with tight stop at $34
8:15lesson
Global elections and market impact
- Three major elections in 10 days
- Brazil, Israel, US elections
- EWZ up slightly, not in position
- Symmetric triangle broken weeks ago
10:20lesson
Precious metals and energy sectors
- GLD down 0.5%, silver showing strength
- XOP green, XLE unchanged
- TLT rally but below resistance
- XLU strong, but below prior highs
12:38lesson
Position management and gap analysis
- EWY covered for profit, gap intact
- FXI short with tight stop at $34
- KU down 4%, gap not violated
- Brazil election, EWZ up slightly
15:00lesson
Chart patterns and trading decisions
- Symmetric triangle broken, stop at 76.5
- XLU short, strong today
- Precious metals down, GLD at $4k
- XLE unchanged, lifetime high still intact
17:10lesson
Interest-sensitive assets and market trends
- TLT rally, resistance at 7-10 year fund
- XLU strong, but below prior highs
- Precious metals down, GLD at $4k
- XLE unchanged, lifetime high intact
19:14lesson
Position management and stop-loss strategies
- Tightening stops on short positions
- Planet Labs down 1%, stop above prior high
- Firefly Aerospace at lifetime lows
- Avoiding penny stocks due to low value
21:21lesson
Market cycles and historical context
- ES trading at 2022 levels, no clear direction
- Historical bear markets lasting 2 years
- Recent drops measured in days
- Need to break 7670 for meaningful action
23:40lesson
Market volatility and earnings expectations
- Netflix down 50% from peak, no position
- Tesla expected to drop, no position
- SpaceX at $150, long-term bull
- SMH needs to break 536 for real selling
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