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Is the Market About to Break? Tim Knight's Technical Analysis

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 28:50
Chapters12 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Trading adjustments and market sentiment

  • Switched from 37 shorts to 18
  • Long EM and increased XLU short
  • Market sentiment shifts between bearish and bullish
  • Hedges helped but shorts still perform
  • Busy morning with position adjustments
2:10lesson

Market analysis and chart updates

  • Spider broke uptrend, damage done
  • Bullish tick showing cracks
  • 11 days left until boating day
  • TLT up strong, rates down hard
  • LQD and interest-sensitive assets rallying
4:13XLU· ticker

XLU - Bearish engulfing pattern

  • XLU up strong, trading weaker
  • Bearish engulfing pattern
  • Favorite pattern for interest-sensitive assets
6:15lesson

Market trends and position management

  • Diamonds up over 500 points
  • IWM strong, covered position
  • Sneakers on for position adjustments
  • Market open weak, slipping lower
  • Opportunity for bears to exit
8:23lesson

Emerging markets and market sentiment

  • Emerging markets rallying
  • Small loss on position
  • South Korea influencing market
  • More downside expected
  • Bullishness as a way to reduce short exposure
10:15lesson

Market environment and asset performance

  • Stocks on sale, wait for prices to be attractive
  • Semiconductors important part of demolition
  • SMH bottomed out, took profits
  • Counter trend rally, not a sea change
  • North star KO RU completed pattern
12:15SOXS· ticker

SOXS - Triple leverage semiconductor bear stock

  • SOXS up 60% in days
  • Almost uninterrupted rise
  • Triple leveraged instrument
  • Tippity top for SOXS
14:24lesson

Island reversal and market dynamics

  • Island reversal key to market
  • Broken line from July 29
  • Rally expected, momentum feeding on itself
  • Important trend lines broken
  • USO up 2.5%, energy stocks down
16:37Dust· ticker

Dust - Leveraged instrument smooth path

  • Dust up from 30 to 45
  • Smooth path for leveraged instrument
  • Silver SLV having a good day
  • Metals have months of work to show upward trend
18:48SpaceX· ticker

SpaceX - Support zone and rally

  • SpaceX fell from 176 to 140
  • 150 support zone important
  • Recovered to 150, found happy medium
  • Expected to grind down to 120s
  • UFO ETF completed head and shoulders top
21:01RKLB· ticker

RKLB - Short position and price gap

  • RKLB fell 7%, short position
  • Tightened stop to new price gap
  • Planet Labs and Vice Vat covered
  • Reassessing positions for better prices
23:12lesson

Market shifts and key positions

  • Nvidia key to AI space
  • Jensen Hong's words calmed traders
  • Nvidia's chart showing trend line break
  • VIX indifferent to market movements
  • FOMC meeting and election day upcoming

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