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Tesla's Earnings Might Be the Least Interesting Thing on the Call
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Tesla earnings and market expectations
- Earnings expected at 45 cents a share
- Analysts cut estimates 18% in 3 months
- Tesla sold more cars but earnings shrink
- Options price 7.45% move for week
- Market charges 25% more than average
2:27lesson
Options math and market expectations
- 7.5% expected move on earnings
- Market prices in plot twist
- High expectations for tech names
- Bullish position in November
- Stock down 19% year to date
4:18lesson
Potential SpaceX merger analysis
- SpaceX could buy Tesla
- SpaceX at $2 trillion, Tesla at $1.5 trillion
- Merger of equals unlikely
- Buyout price could be $3 trillion
- Options don't signal merger
6:18lesson
Roadster and market implications
- Roadster flight test successful
- Production expected 2028
- Options price $530 upside
- Downside priced at $170
- Hype around Roadster and SpaceX
8:00lesson
Focus on earnings and market range
- Earnings price 7.5% move
- Stock range 335 to 389
- No extreme volatility
- Options market focused on earnings
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