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71 Months of Bear Bond Market. The Longest Ever
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Bond market — 71 straight months of tight spreads
- 71 straight months of tight spreads
- No competition for assets
- Market tightened before Fed
- Yields falling for six quarters
0:35lesson
Private credit — slow motion train wreck
- Non-agency private loans in panic
- Bloom off the rose
- Slow motion train wreck
- More bad news coming out of private credit
1:10lesson
Economic parsing — jobs vs ADP data
- Strong jobs data
- ADP number creates confusion
- Difficult to parse economic signals
- Mixed economic indicators
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