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Forget the Fed Today. Tim Knight Says Tonight's Real Test Is Meta.

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 11:08
Chapters7 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00STX· ticker

STX trade — bearish, $60k is the line

  • Regretted close/cover — emotional decisions
  • SMH sinking — psychological creatures
  • Pushed puts to January — sleep easier
1:50SMH· ticker

SMH — sinking, semi shorts remain

  • Sinking continues — psychological bias
  • Trimmed to 30% — position sizing
  • Puts profit — short-term gains
3:44lesson

Trading during volatility — chart focus

  • Agnostic to events — chart reactions
  • Fresh stops — frequent checks
  • FOMC/press conference — heightened risk
5:31XLK· ticker

XLK — right triangle completed

  • Right triangle pattern — completed
  • Base at today's high — support level
  • Shorts activated — price retests
7:28crude oil· ticker

Crude oil — right triangle support

  • Support at war price gap — found
  • Rallied past trend line — rubber banded
  • Backwardation — elevated months
9:13ES· ticker

ES — support level testing

  • Support level teased — close proximity
  • Resolute support — vs. ENQ breakdown
  • Surprise event — short-term catalyst
9:14lesson

Long-term volatility — VIX positioning

  • VIX at 15 — anticipated tumble
  • Vault futures flattening — Fed ahead
  • January 2027 puts — long-dated hedge

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