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Is Meta Overvalued? A 35% Surge Breakdown
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00META· ticker
Meta — 30% gain, AI agent Muse
- Meta up 30% in a month
- AI agent Muse knocks ChachiPT off app store
- JP Morgan upgrades to $820 target
- City at 800, Wells Fargo at 796
- Muse scores 62 on AI index
2:05META· ticker
Meta — forward earnings and capex
- 20.6 times forward earnings
- 20.1% growth
- Capex guided to 145 billion
- Oppenheimer needs 115 million users at $20/month
4:02META· ticker
Meta — chart analysis and price targets
- Monthly chart up 33% today
- 184 points gain in 21 days
- Recent high below 79625
- Targets at $800, $82, $840
- November 4th earnings priced in
5:56META· ticker
Meta — options analysis and implied move
- 112 point move for November cycle
- 128 point range priced in by December 18th
- Delta at 20 for downside
- Call skew with 70% probability of touch
5:57META· ticker
Meta — call skew and probability of reaching $1,000
- 70% probability of $840 strike tested
- 19 delta for $940 strike
- 40% probability of touch
- 13% probability of $1,000 strike
- Call premium still high in upper strikes
5:58lesson
Options Math Check — viewer engagement
- Call premium influenced by today's rally
- Encourages viewer comments and subscriptions
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