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Tim Knight Says a Time Traveler Would Never Believe This Chart
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Market sentiment and interest rates
- Main concern: election outcome affects bulls/bears
- Stocks ignore interest rates and crude oil
- Interest rates may relax, stocks could rise
- Spider near lifetime high at 777.44
- TLT and IEF falling despite stock gains
2:03LEN· ticker
LEN short position thriving
- LEN short thriving after forming Head and Shoulders top
- LEN down to 74 from 100
- LEN could go to 20
- LAR control over unsold inventory
- Short LAR due to suspicious activity
4:04XLK· ticker
XLK lifetime high
- XLK lifetime high close
- Tech sector foundation for stock market
- AI central to market performance
- AI failure could drag everything down
- EM up 1.5% but not meaningful
6:08KU· ticker
KU short position
- KU down 0.25%
- Stop above 24
- South Korea down 12%
- Price gap at 196.34
- China rallying after Friday drop
8:26EWC· ticker
EWC up 14%
- Brazil election boosting EWC
- EWC up 14% like Dow up 7000
- Trend line anchored to liberation day bottom
- Potential retreat in days ahead
10:33Meta· ticker
Meta up $15
- Meta up $15, not at lifetime highs
- Meta analog to SpaceX IPO
- Facebook IPO had strong launch, then wipeout
- Meta had private market, then rally
12:39SpaceX· ticker
SpaceX analog to Meta
- SpaceX had strong launch, then wipeout
- SpaceX down 60% from 220 to 100
- Healing process, then strong rise
- Potential political impact on stock
14:43Carnival· ticker
Carnival short position
- Carnival down 0.3%
- Resistance at blue trend line
- Royal Caribbean down 1.3%
- Salesforce down 2%
- AOI gap trade under 122
16:58Quantum stocks· ticker
Quantum stocks breaking down
- Quantum stocks breaking down
- Credo had shooting star
- Symmetric triangle forming
- VIAD in symmetric triangle
- Rubric up from 85 to 123
19:10Gold· ticker
Gold and silver performance
- Gold up but weak
- Gold at risk of breaking trend line
- Silver more promising
- Silver could lead gold higher
- Bitcoin and Ethereum stable
21:16USO· ticker
USO and energy sector
- USO down 2.5%
- XOP up despite USO weakness
- XLE up, working on topping pattern
- Semiconductors up 0.03%
- Nvidia at lifetime high
23:26lesson
Market dynamics and earnings
- Bonds in free fall, stocks in bull market
- Market dynamics remain unclear
- Earnings season coming in weeks
- Market expected to be active in 2026
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