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Jim Welsh Says When Good News Makes a Stock Fall, That's the Signal
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Market reaction to election outcome
- Election outcome volatile
- Market reaction mixed
- Uncertainty remains
- Oil down 7.5%
- Fed potential rate cuts
2:07lesson
Market volatility and earnings season
- Market was soggy pre-election
- Earnings season mixed
- S&P 500 EPS growth 29-30%
- Market turned negative
- Election aftermath mixed
4:11lesson
Market sentiment and sector performance
- Semiconductor index sell-off ongoing
- AI trade overbought
- Market retrenchment expected
- Fed rate cut expectations
- Technical analysis of S&P
6:23lesson
Bond market and interest rates
- Bonds declined for 6.5 years
- Yields topping out
- Retracement expected
- Fed hike in December
- Yield spreads widening
8:48lesson
Technical analysis of bond yields
- Yields dropped 45 basis points
- Retracement expected
- Fed hike in December
- Yield spreads widening
- AI trade impacted
10:54lesson
Market expectations and Fed policy
- Employment report Friday
- Potential Fed hike
- Inflation data critical
- Treasury yields to rise
- S&P near all-time high
13:05lesson
Precious metals and market sentiment
- Gold and silver rebounded
- Fed policy unchanged
- Precious metals as indicator
- Gold target at 4,200
- Dollar pullback expected
15:24lesson
Technical analysis of gold and dollar
- Gold trend down
- RSI divergence expected
- Dollar to make higher high
- Gold rally to 3500
- RSI negative divergence
17:32lesson
Currency pair analysis and trade tensions
- Euro and pound rallied
- Canadian dollar weak
- Trade tensions speculation
- Dollar index analysis
- Euro bounce expected
19:36lesson
Dollar and gold technical patterns
- Dollar to 105-107
- Gold rally to 3500
- RSI divergence setup
- Gold as trading vehicle
- Momentum trading strategy
21:38lesson
Gold and market sentiment
- Gold as trading vehicle
- Momentum trading strategy
- Price action clean
- Horizontal lines on charts
- RSI divergence setup
23:37lesson
Gold and AI sector analysis
- Gold as wave four correction
- Wave two lasted 27 months
- Gold rally to 3500
- Short opportunity after rally
- AI sector sell-off expected
25:54lesson
Market sentiment and AI sector
- AI sector sell-off ongoing
- Anthropic deal impact
- Market reaction to AI spending
- Revenue not justifying spending
- Market scrutiny intensified
28:07lesson
Market sentiment and sell-the-news
- Sell-the-news market
- Sentiment shift expected
- Market reaction to news
- Technical analysis of S&P
- Market retrenchment expected
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