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The SpaceX Bears Got Obliterated, Now the Bulls Are Betting Big
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:04SPCX· ticker
SPCX — options flipped, $159.27 close
- Money bet against SPCX on Monday
- Money flipped to bullish on Wednesday
- Earnings beat with 7.77% jump
- 146 put expired, 135 put needs 18% drop
- 14 bullish calls for $12.37 million
2:06SPCX· ticker
SPCX — calls split, break evens at 162-166
- Calls split into short-dated and longer-dated
- 160 call broke even at 163.60
- 150, 155, 162.5 calls need 162-166
- Six purchases on 200 strike from June 27 to Jan 29
- June 27 call needs 216.30, Sept 27 needs 221
4:04SPCX· ticker
SPCX — earnings beat, AI revenue surge
- Revenue 14.58B vs 12.72B expected
- Adjusted EPS 45c vs 13c expected
- AI revenue 7.56B, 9x last year
- Starlink revenue 5.25B, 85% of net income
- Q1 2027 revenue guide 33-37B
6:02Tesla· ticker
Tesla — potential merger with SpaceX
- Musk confirms independent committees for merger
- No agreed terms, no merger vote
- SPCX at $2.01T, Tesla at $1.48T
- Musk floated 500B-1T run rate for 2027
- Contract backlog at $63B, compute capacity to 13GW
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