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Nvidia Needs 33% to Reach Wall Street's Target

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Breakdown

0:00NVDA· ticker

Nvidia — $217, 33.6% upside needed, 8% options move

  • Bank of America targets $290
  • Analysts average $32/share
  • Options price 8% move
  • Last 10 prints delivered 5.6%
  • Straddle lost money 7 quarters
2:06NVDA· ticker

Nvidia options skew — $218, 14-point earnings range

  • 200 strike @ $11, 240 strike @ $13
  • Call skew at 20 points
  • 260 strike @ $8, 180 strike @ $2
  • 22% probability $260+ by year-end
  • 37% downside risk at $200
3:59NVDA· ticker

Nvidia split impact — 129 days to $260+

  • Stock split affects market cap
  • 30-50 point move = massive cap shift
  • 260+ likely by year-end
  • Volatility overpriced vs realized move
  • Earnings range ±15 points

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