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Cem Karsan Says the Fed Is Just Putting On a Show, Here's the Endgame

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ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Earnings report analysis

  • Microsoft EPS 489 vs 472 expected
  • Revs 92.279B
  • Shares close 531 now 548
  • Nasdaq up 1%
  • S&P up 610 of a percent
1:54lesson

Fed meeting implications

  • Fed meeting day reaction
  • Kabuki Theater
  • Jackson Hole shift
  • Inflation concerns
  • Credibility focus
3:48lesson

Market reaction to earnings

  • Earnings beat and miss
  • Fed funds futures
  • Market fade
  • Momentum driver
  • Earnings growth
5:56lesson

Fed meeting and market expectations

  • December rate hike probability
  • Market fade
  • Momentum wanes
  • Earnings growth
  • Inflation impact
7:56lesson

Macroeconomic outlook

  • Capex growth
  • Credit default swaps
  • Momentum driver
  • Inflation impact
  • Market support
9:53lesson

Earnings and geopolitical developments

  • Mixed earnings report
  • Oil prices drop
  • Middle East tensions
  • Midterms impact
  • Market volatility
11:49lesson

Market performance and data analysis

  • Market gains overnight
  • Second quarter data
  • Consumer growth
  • Data center growth
  • Inflationary impact
13:45lesson

Midterm elections and market outlook

  • Midterm election impact
  • Democratic control
  • Senate shift
  • Market weakness
  • January top
15:36lesson

Market structure and future outlook

  • Structural flows
  • V-shaped recovery
  • Midterm impact
  • QR announcement
  • Market compression
17:16lesson

Wrap-up and market outlook

  • Market setup
  • Midterm impact
  • QR announcement
  • Market compression
  • Political developments

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