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Meta to 1,000 or AMD to 800, Mike Butler Runs the Options Math
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00Meta· ticker
Meta up 20% in a month, target $1,000
- Meta up 20% in a month
- AMD up 33%
- Half a trillion added in four weeks
- Muse AI agent with 3 million users
- Wells Fargo target $1,000
2:13AMD· ticker
AMD up 33%, target $800
- AMD up 33%
- City target $800
- Agents need compute
- Meta is AMD's biggest server customer
- Wells Fargo cuts 2027 earnings to $31
4:20NASDAQ· ticker
NASDAQ up 213, market rally
- E-Minis up 50
- NASDAQ up 213
- Crazy rally
- Meta down 30 points
- AMD up 23 points
6:25Meta· ticker
Meta's market cap at $1.85T, target over $1,000
- Meta's market cap at $1.85T
- Nvidia's market cap $5.65T
- Stock price misleading
- Meta could reach $3T market cap
- Target over $1,000
8:35AMD· ticker
AMD's market cap at $1T, target $1,300
- AMD's market cap at $1T
- Stock price $650
- Market cap could reach $2T
- Target $1,300
- Stock splits affect analysis
8:36AMD· ticker
AMD's implied volatility at 58%
- Implied volatility 50%
- Earnings November 6th
- Midterm elections timing
- Jump to 58%
- Market pricing in earnings
8:37Meta· ticker
Meta's implied volatility at 30%
- Implied volatility 30%
- Earnings October 30th
- IV jump to 45%
- Binary event priced in
- Earnings late October, early November
8:38Meta· ticker
Meta's $1,000 target in 2027
- Implied move 10% for $1,000
- 100 days out for $1,000
- 7% implied move in June 2027
- 34% probability by 2027
- Market conditions could help
8:39AMD· ticker
AMD's $800 target in November
- Implied move 18% for $800
- 14% in November
- 54% probability to touch $800
- Higher volatility than Meta
- Earnings cycle timing
8:40lesson
Which stock hits target first? AMD or Meta?
- AMD higher probability
- Higher volatility than Meta
- Earnings cycles matter
- Market rally from earnings
- Comment section for debate
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