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Todd Horowitz Says This Selloff Is Orderly, Not Panic, Yet

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ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Nasdaq sell-off and potential for further decline

  • Nasdaq down 3%
  • Semiconductors hit hard
  • NQ and ES show oversold conditions
  • Potential for 3-4% more decline
  • Bounce expected in next day or so
1:41lesson

Orderly liquidation vs. panic in the market

  • Market is orderly, not panic
  • VIX at 20, down from 23
  • Light volume indicates no true fear
  • Focus on balance sheet debt in AI space
  • Simple trade with clear exit strategy
3:21lesson

Bear market rallies as selling opportunities

  • Bear markets create vicious rallies
  • Sell into strength, not buy dips
  • Weighted double diagonals for neutral trades
  • Collect premium to reduce risk
  • Short net market for profit
4:59lesson

Bonds and interest rate expectations

  • Bonds bouncing up to 107.18
  • V-shape recovery not confirmed
  • Expect interest rates to rise above 5%
  • Sell 10-year and 30-year futures
  • Short squeeze in bear markets
6:30lesson

Crude oil and market sentiment

  • Crude oil in stable uptrend
  • Fear built into market
  • Expect oil to sell off
  • Refiners may start refining again
  • Short crude market for potential decline
7:58lesson

Gold and metals in a bear market

  • Gold and metals overlooked in tech sell-off
  • Silver down 6%
  • Sell-off due to margin calls
  • Interest rates rising, gold under pressure
  • Sell put spreads for risk-controlled trade
9:32lesson

Advice for new traders in volatile markets

  • Know your risk and exit strategy
  • Trade smaller and more often in volatile markets
  • Avoid over-leveraging
  • Protect against risk relative to account size
  • Avoid chasing losses

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