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The Market Is Grinding Nowhere and the Algos Are in Control

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Chapters37 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Technical setup and pacing

  • Technical team issues with slow performance
  • Switch to charts and audio only
  • Pacing adjusted for efficiency
1:58lesson

Market sentiment and volatility

  • Market grinding around blue trend line
  • Rumor denial cycle
  • No clear direction
4:11lesson

Market expectations and midterms

  • Midterms approaching in 36 days
  • October expected to be volatile
  • Normalization after October
6:42XLI· ticker

XLI — price gap at 171.41

  • Price gap at 171.41
  • Market reacting to rumors
  • Potential for price to melt away
8:53IWM· ticker

IWM — uniform decline

  • IWM down same amount as others
  • Tech stocks weaker than rest
  • Overall decline of 2/3 of a percent
11:07XLK· ticker

XLK — tech decline

  • XLK down 8%
  • NASDAQ 100 not as affected
  • Bull market not supported by rising rates
13:17EM· ticker

EM — decline and chart analysis

  • EM down 1.23%
  • Difficult chart to read
  • EFA preferred for clean price gap
15:23EWW· ticker

EWW — symmetric triangle

  • Symmetric triangle pattern
  • Failure of trend line
  • Multi-month lows
17:26EWC· ticker

EWC — short sale based on price gap

  • Short sale based on price gap at 60.94
  • Price gap sealed at 60.93
  • Price slipping lower
17:27EWZ· ticker

EWZ — Brazil election impact

  • Brazil election this weekend
  • Price slipping from 39 to 36
  • 3% drop in weeks
17:28bonds· ticker

Bonds — continued decline

  • Bonds continue to decline
  • Interest rates rising
  • Impact on mortgages and credit cards
17:29TLT· ticker

TLT — multi-year low

  • TLT at 1.06%
  • Multi-year low
  • Dividends keep it from lifetime low
17:30IEF· ticker

IEF — bond fund decline

  • IEF down 6%
  • Rally expected at some point
  • Interest rate impact
17:31Iyr· ticker

Iyr — real estate and rates

  • Real estate affected by rising rates
  • Slide from 107 to 96
  • 10% drop since July 28
17:32Nvidia· ticker

Nvidia — buyback announcement

  • Largest buyback in history
  • Up 2%
  • Lifetime high not challenged
17:33SMH· ticker

SMH — semiconductor decline

  • Semiconductors down despite Nvidia
  • Multi-month peak not challenged
  • Short positions
17:34AEOI· ticker

AEOI — short position

  • AEOI down 4.3%
  • Meta not shorted
  • Rally dissipating
17:35ARM· ticker

ARM — short position

  • ARM down over 8%
  • Not shorted
  • Slipping lower
17:36Sienna· ticker

Sienna — top completion

  • Sienna down over 3%
  • Potential top completion
  • Still not done
17:37IBM· ticker

IBM — short position

  • IBM down 2%
  • Not a nice pattern
  • Moving in right direction
17:38KLA· ticker

KLA — short position

  • KLA down 1.38%
  • Voluntarily taken out
  • Too robust for liking
17:39Oracle· ticker

Oracle — short position

  • Oracle down over 3%
  • Peaked at 170
  • Down to 130s
17:40Pterodine· ticker

Pterodine — short position

  • Pterodine down over 2.5%
  • Not shorted
  • Watched for further movement
17:41Space Mobile· ticker

Space Mobile — short position

  • Space Mobile down slightly
  • SpaceX successful launch
  • Salesforce shorted
17:42Carvana· ticker

Carvana — short position

  • Carvana down almost 7%
  • Diamond pattern
  • Slipping lower
17:43Corning· ticker

Corning — short position

  • Corning down not quite 3%
  • Clean stop loss
  • Blue Owl shorted
17:44Seagate· ticker

Seagate — short position

  • Seagate up slightly
  • Pattern strength bugs
  • Hold small position
17:45Tesla· ticker

Tesla — short position

  • Tesla down almost 4%
  • Weakness continues
  • Seven days of strength undone
17:46Vioat· ticker

Vioat — short position

  • Vioat down 1.4%
  • One more on list
17:47WDC· ticker

WDC — short position

  • WDC barely changed
  • Similar to STX
  • Hold provided stop not violated
17:48Fundrise· ticker

Fundrise — sentiment indicator

  • Fundrise down to lifetime low
  • Private placements not buying
  • Sentiment indicator
18:11Gold· ticker

Gold — decline and pattern

  • Gold down 3.65%
  • Slipped below pattern
  • Looking for stability around 360
18:45Silver· ticker

Silver — decline and pattern

  • Silver down over 5%
  • Level above green line violated
  • How low will it go?
19:11GDX· ticker

GDX — miner decline

  • GDX down almost 5%
  • Precious metals having a bad day
19:45Dust· ticker

Dust — rising and gap

  • Dust up almost 10%
  • Nice gap scaling up
  • Not participating
20:11XME· ticker

XME — short position

  • XME down 2.3%
  • Short position held
20:45Bitcoin· ticker

Bitcoin — short position

  • Bitcoin down over $700
  • Short position held via IBIT
  • Strategy MSTR shorted

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