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Cem Karsan Is Calling for a 25 to 40% Drawdown

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 10:06
Chapters6 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00Oil· ticker

Oil rallying, yen rising, $6B inflow

  • Yen screaming higher
  • Besson taking $6B
  • Long end of curve structural
1:56Oil· ticker

Oil market pressures, China's role, taco expectations

  • Taco setup expected
  • China as new OPEC+
  • Opening street relieved pressure
3:59Oil· ticker

Oil market pressures, midterm implications, potential taco

  • Carrot at end of stick
  • Inflation from hot economy
  • Midterms in 44 days
6:07VIX· ticker

VIX strategy, market downturn expectations, calendar trading

  • Buy 90-day VIX
  • Sell short-dated strangles
  • Market up leads to leverage
8:05S&P· ticker

S&P trading, midterm impact, market up scenario

  • Buy S&P, NASDAQ
  • Sell into market up
  • Range trading with strangles
9:54lesson

Trading strategy for volatility, midterm outlook

  • Manage range, sell strangles
  • Buy longer-dated calls
  • Market up leads to short deltas

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