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Bonds Rally as AI Stocks Stumble. Can CPI Data Keep It Going?
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:11S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 — congestive levels, failed breakout
- S&P 500 not making big moves
- Testing bounds of recent bottom
- Failed breakout last week
2:39NASDAQ· ticker
NASDAQ — weakness from AI chipmaker concerns
- NASDAQ looks worse for wear
- Sell-off in South Korea
- Chipmaker names under pressure
5:26Russell· ticker
Russell — underperforming amid tech weakness
- Russell under the weather
- Disparity in market performance
- Tech-related weakness
8:04CXMT· ticker
CXMT — Chinese chipmaker competition
- CXMT rival product ready by December
- Concerns over China competition
- Sell-off in South Korea
10:44Johnson and Johnson· ticker
Johnson and Johnson — EPS miss
- Missed EPS by 259 vs 303 expected
- Part of broader earnings report
- Not a growth engine
13:07Wells Fargo· ticker
Wells Fargo — revenue miss
- Missed revenue by 21.9B vs 22.3B expected
- Part of broader earnings report
- Not a growth engine
13:08Bonds· ticker
Bonds — rising amid AI and inflation dynamics
- Bonds power higher
- AI story soggier
- Competition for capital
13:09Crude Oil· ticker
Crude Oil — rising despite inflationary pressures
- Crude oil continues to punch higher
- More to the story than Iran war
- Inflationary impetus not driving bonds
13:10Gold· ticker
Gold — attempting to establish a bottom
- Gold still attempting to establish a bottom
- Oil pop not creating downside pressure
- Diverging from oil
13:11USD/EUR· ticker
USD/EUR — dollar weaker amid yield pullback
- Dollar weaker
- Pullback in yields front and center
- Euro attempting meaningful turn
13:12AUD/USD· ticker
AUD/USD — Aussie on the march
- Aussie doing relatively better
- On the march today
- Diverging from dollar weakness
13:13GBP/USD· ticker
GBP/USD — pound underperforming
- Pound underperforming
- Diverging from dollar weakness
- Euro attempting meaningful turn
13:14US CPI· ticker
US CPI — expected to rise to 3.7%
- Headline CPI expected to rise to 3.7%
- Core CPI expected to rise to 2.5%
- Month-on-month core slowing to 0.2%
13:15PPI· ticker
PPI — coming Thursday
- PPI coming Thursday
- Second round of data past CPI
- Retail sales to gauge consumer impact
13:16Retail Sales· ticker
Retail Sales — gauge consumer impact
- Retail sales to gauge consumer impact
- Consumer confidence at second lowest on record
- Inflationary burden on consumers
13:17FOMC· ticker
FOMC — policy meter showing hawkish stance
- FOMC policy meter shows hawkish stance
- Two rate hikes expected this year
- Rates peak this year, cuts by 2028
13:18PCE· ticker
PCE — three-month annualized rate at 2%
- PCE three-month annualized rate at 2%
- Six-month rate approaching target
- Oil pop not affecting inflation expectations
13:19Bitcoin· ticker
Bitcoin — holding up well in risk-off environment
- Bitcoin holding up well
- Long Bitcoin despite market weakness
- Diverging from silver
13:20Silver· ticker
Silver — underperforming in risk-off environment
- Silver underperforming
- Diverging from gold
- Still long gold
13:21XBI· ticker
XBI — biotech ETF short via put vertical
- XBI short via put vertical
- Working today
- Biotech ETF underperforming
13:22lesson
Macro Money — market setup for CPI release
- Market setup for CPI release
- Focus on yield pullback over earnings
- Global narrative around AI and inflation
Informational only — this is tastylive’s content, decoded by Plutus. Not Paid Daily’s advice or a recommendation. The outline, timestamps, and claims are extracted from what the creator said; verify before acting.