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How to Size Your Trades on a Data Day

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Chapters8 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Market reactions to macro data

  • CPI surprises cause big moves
  • Market reacts to policy path change
  • SR3Z6 contract shows historical response
  • Positioning affects market reaction
  • Short covering rallies add liquidity
1:50lesson

Trading on data days

  • Data days create discontinuous returns
  • CPI interpretation depends on context
  • Market regime shifts can happen quickly
  • Distribution of returns is not normal
  • Trading size should be smaller on data days
3:49lesson

Impact of interest rates on tech stocks

  • Interest rates affect discounted cash flows
  • Tech stocks with low cash flows get hit harder
  • Duration matters for cash flow timing
  • Company-specific IV reactions
  • Not all tech stocks react the same
5:27lesson

Trading European exposure through individual stocks

  • Avoid ETFs with low liquidity
  • Look for individual stocks with volume
  • Shell has viable options chain
  • Long call spreads offer better risk-reward
  • Options may not be the best way to express views
7:39lesson

Trading strategies for European exposure

  • Avoid Croup's advice due to bias
  • Focus on individual stocks like Shell
  • Options on individual stocks are viable
  • Buy shares directly for exposure
  • Options may not be the best way to express views
9:46lesson

Options trading on individual stocks

  • Shell has strong options volume
  • Put spreads and call spreads are viable
  • Risk-reward ratio is favorable
  • Theta generation is positive
  • Options can express bullish views
11:59lesson

Avoiding options market pitfalls

  • Avoid ETFs with low liquidity
  • Focus on individual stocks
  • Options may not be the best way to express views
  • Buy shares directly for exposure
  • Avoid getting stuck in illiquid options
13:35lesson

Trading schedule and contact info

  • Live trading at 1:30
  • Contact via email or phone
  • Research notes and market analysis
  • Avoid holding illiquid positions
  • Market demand indicates liquidity

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