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How to Sell Bond Options With a Built-In Margin of Safety

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 13:53
Chapters9 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Macro move dominates market action

  • Inflation back in focus
  • Bonds moving market
  • Oil connection to bonds
  • Macro move over oil
  • Bonds moved aggressively down
1:50lesson

Options trading and volatility management

  • Sell put options out of the money
  • Margin of safety with strike prices
  • Realized vs implied volatility
  • Volatility elevated despite low RV
  • Sell strikes further out for more premium
3:44ZN· ticker

Bonds rally near moving average

  • Bonds moved down then rallied
  • Stopped near moving average
  • Exhaustion from prior week
  • Options traders can capitalize
5:29ZS· ticker

Commodities show range-bound action

  • 1250 range for ZS
  • Negativity from harvest data
  • Moves getting smaller
  • Opportunity to play both sides
7:12lesson

Risk management in volatile markets

  • Be careful with entries
  • Defined risk strategies
  • Calendar spreads and diagonals
  • Stay small to manage risk
  • Avoid tail risk exposure
8:54lesson

Volatility and market structure

  • IVR vs actual volatility
  • VIX at 15.81
  • Contango in VIX futures
  • Fast market with sharp moves
  • Butterflies to hedge short moves
10:37lesson

Hedging and market participation

  • Long-term hedges like butterflies
  • Hedge initial moves down
  • Take advantage of recovery
  • Stay active in the market
  • Avoid sitting on sidelines
12:12SPX· ticker

Butterflies and super bears in S&P

  • Butterflies and super bears in S&P
  • Call spread to finance put spread
  • Near-term hedges
  • Election and Fed meeting coming
  • Volatility not reflecting upcoming events
12:13ZN· ticker

Consumer weakness and bond dynamics

  • Consumer weakness affecting economy
  • Tech companies raise prices
  • Consumer staples struggling
  • Potential impact on long bonds
  • Curve steepening with long bonds rising

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