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Paul Tudor Jones Says 2027 Gets Rough, and It's Not About Valuations
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Breakdown
0:00S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 options 2027 expected move ±1100 points
- Paul Tudor Jones warns 2027 will be challenging
- Supply concerns over demand
- Buybacks grew 1% vs capex 38%
- Alphabet and Meta paused buybacks
- Money shifted to data centers
2:15S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 options math for 2027
- Expected move ±1100 points with 21% V
- Implied volatility scaled by sqrt(1.2) = 23%
- Downside 6000, upside 9600
- Market at 7800, potential 2025 levels
4:05S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 options conservative expected move
- Conservative move ±1200 points
- Downside 6600, upside 9000
- Put skew to downside
- Open interest on 6600 line
5:53S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 put skew and open interest
- Put skew to downside
- Implied volatility $86 vs $80
- More people play downside
- Crash potential implied
7:40S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 options skew and market outlook
- Equidistant delta options skewed downside
- Downside 6600, upside 9600
- Market direction unknown
- Options math used to analyze
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