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Is a 93% Win Rate Real or Just Survivorship?
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00Russell· ticker
Russell weak, tech dominates
- Europe out of way gives strength
- Stocks don't care about oil/growth
- Tech drives market
- Russell not looking great
1:53ZB· ticker
ZB lower, bonds struggle
- ZB lower on session
- Bonds try to rally
- First close above one-week avg since Sept 23
- Down 11 ticks
3:52Notes· ticker
Notes down, swing highs missed
- Notes try to get back above swing highs
- Hit 105 8 ticks
- Back to 104 11.5
- Disappointing silver
3:53Gold· ticker
Gold down, silver weak
- Gold down slightly
- Silver down still
- Silver disappointing
3:54Oil· ticker
Oil down 3%, weak performance
- Oil off nearly 3%
- Down 1.8%
3:55IA· ticker
IA top of board, SMH leads
- IA surprises with names
- SMH top of board 2.23%
- XTL telecom 2.12%
- Consumer discretionary up due to Amazon/Tesla
3:56SPXT· ticker
SPXT vs tech, tech-led market
- SPXT vs tech sector
- Tech vs not tech different story
- Europe leaving triggers tech dominance
- Tech story lives in America
3:57ES· ticker
ES bottoms near European close
- Market bottoms near European close
- Low tick within 10 minutes of close
- Tech dominance reasserts post European close
3:58S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 volatility curve shift
- VIX 3-month vs VIX 1-month spread up 1.09 points
- Signal for market turning higher
- Median one-week return 0.87%
- Market returned 0.87% after signal
3:59VIX· ticker
VIX volatility curve shift
- VIX 3-month vs VIX 1-month spread up 1.09 points
- Signal for market turning higher
- Median one-week return 0.87%
- Market returned 0.87% after signal
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