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Semis Just Ripped 15% and Tim Knight Is Still Shorting Them
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Chapters14 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Risk management after green day
- Market trust diminished after stop losses
- Risk reduced from 250% to 95%
- Focus on ETFs for position scaling
- Avoiding over-leveraged setups
2:12ES· ticker
ES/NQ/TWM green day recovery
- ES, NQ, TWM all green
- NQ up 2% (500 points)
- Tech stocks leading rebound
4:28diamond· ticker
Diamonds range-bound indecision
- 3-day price range similar to prior day
- Bearish engulfing pattern failed
- Trend line resistance pending
6:35SOXL· ticker
Semiconductors leveraged rebound
- SOXL triple-leveraged bullish ETF
- Lost 2/3 value in 3 weeks
- 15.3% rebound from Friday low
8:45SMH· ticker
SMH puts adjusted for volatility
- Increased SMH September puts
- Semis moved violently
- Avoiding heavy re-entry
10:54XME· ticker
Metals sector bounce after sell-off
- XME up 3.5% from 2-month low
- Gold/silver/miners rebounding
- 7-9% intraday spikes possible
12:46GLD· ticker
Gold right triangle pattern
- Bearish right triangle formation
- Potential baseline rebound
- Overhead supply at 4.3%
14:51silver· ticker
Silver volatile rebound potential
- Silver up 4.25% from 2-month low
- More volatile than gold
- Potential 10%+ rebound
14:52SpaceX· ticker
SpaceX earnings anticipation
- Earnings announcement August 4
- Historical 2 green days in 13
- Price up 2.73% from prior low
14:53Firefly Aerospace· ticker
Pre-IPO funds post-IPO slump
- Firefly up 6%
- 21 Capital (XXI) at lifetime low
- SpaceX IPO cooling pre-IPO funds
14:54Costco· ticker
Costco puts partially closed
- Sold half Costco puts at profit
- Remaining position still profitable
- Short via puts
14:55FXI· ticker
FXI put position profitable
- FXI down 1%
- $36 put position active
- Biggest options position
14:56Lennar· ticker
Lennar head-and-shoulders top
- Lennar down 1%
- Head-and-shoulders top pattern
- Support at Friday's low
14:57MongoDB· ticker
MongoDB short position active
- MDB down 5%
- Sloppy chart with no clear pattern
- Behavioring within range
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