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What Happened When AI Ran a Trader Deliberation

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Breakdown

0:00lesson

Experiment with AI-powered deliberation

  • Tasty Live and Unanimous AI tested crowd intelligence
  • AI agents support human deliberation
  • Participants debated stock movements
2:22COREWAVE· ticker

Coreweave vs. other earnings reports

  • 51 participants debated 5 companies
  • Coreweave had highest implied volatility
  • Strong AI compute demand and revenue growth
  • Substantial backlog supports upside
4:35lesson

AI agents in deliberation

  • Two AI agents per think tank
  • Kit agent surfaces key arguments
  • Scout agent retrieves needed info
7:01COREWAVE· ticker

Coreweave price move analysis

  • Implied move dropped from 22% to 16.1%
  • Participants debated potential move
  • Expectation of 22% band
9:27lesson

Constructing market questions

  • Second question focused on Coreweave
  • Participants debated rise vs. fall
  • 22% implied move influenced debate
11:53lesson

Market sentiment and consensus

  • Coreweave seen as consensus pick
  • Sentiment may already be priced in
  • Opportunity in contrarian bets
14:31lesson

S&P 500 outlook and conviction

  • Group slightly positive on S&P 500
  • Low conviction due to uncertain outlook
  • Seasonal factors and selloff influence
16:56lesson

Interpreting market dynamics

  • Coreweave seen as standout name
  • Market bias leans positive
  • Sentiment provides actionable insight
19:17lesson

Trading with crowd psychology

  • Coreweave may give discount for bullish traders
  • Bearish traders see opportunity in bounce
  • Consensus vulnerable to disappointment
21:38lesson

Future of crowd intelligence analysis

  • Continued experiments with Tasty Live community
  • Power of studying crowd psychology
  • Recommendations for forecasting books

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