Paid Daily · Resources · Ask Plutus
The AI Trade is Unwinding and Bonds are Soaring. Is This the Turn?
NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 19:37
Chapters19 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:11lesson
Markets in meltdown mode
- Core of past year's strategy reversed
- Buying AI/tech, selling bonds reversed
- Focus on price action before theorizing
2:50S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 retesting key underside
- Bounce from Friday's selloff corrective
- Retesting key underside of broken range
- Reverse from level confirmed
- Flushed three days of recovery
5:30NASDAQ· ticker
NASDAQ taking out range bottom
- Tech sector damage most acute
- Taking out range bottom
- Support near 28,700-28,850
- Potential next break to 27,500
8:09Russell· ticker
Russell flat on day
- Holding former resistance turned support
- Not breaking higher
- Downtrend since mid-August
10:50ZB· ticker
Bonds surging higher
- Bonds surging higher
- Testing former support turned resistance
- Opportunity for reaction
- Capital moving into bonds
13:32US dollar· ticker
Dollar struggling in stress
- Dollar not finding haven bid
- Euro not falling despite stress
- Eurozone bond spread widening
16:20Euro· ticker
Euro holding despite stress
- Euro not falling despite stress
- Spread wider than 2010-2011 crisis
- Markets demand extra yield for France
18:49US dollar· ticker
Dollar hampered by tech sell-off
- Selling dollar-based tech assets
- Capital repatriating out of US
- Capital going into bonds
18:50Aussie· ticker
Aussie holding despite risk-off
- Aussie holding despite risk-off
- Looks like correction, not breakdown
- Greenback can't hold against Aussie
18:51Canadian dollar· ticker
Canadian dollar powering higher
- Canadian dollar powering higher
- Not pinned on crude oil
- Crude oil digesting within range
18:52Gold· ticker
Gold breaking range bottom
- Gold breaking range bottom
- Not thriving in weaker dollar
- Speculative flush affecting metals
18:53Silver· ticker
Silver breaking range bottom
- Silver breaking range bottom
- Speculative flush affecting metals
18:54Bitcoin· ticker
Bitcoin holding support
- Bitcoin holding support
- Speculative creature, anti-dollar
- Soggy but holding better than expected
18:55Big Tech· ticker
Big Tech dragging market down
- Big Tech dragging market down
- Heat map showing heavy market cap names
- Rotation myth debunked
18:56Corporate earnings· ticker
Earnings surprises not translating to price
- Positive earnings surprises met with price declines
- Average response 0.2% decline
- No speculative tailwind
18:57Fed· ticker
Rate hike expectations diminishing
- No hike next week
- 77% chance of December hike
- Growth coming apart
18:58GDP· ticker
GDP data and PMI numbers to be watched
- GDP data and PMI numbers to be watched
- Soggy PMI could feed concerns
- Send bonds higher, weaken dollar
18:59Gold· ticker
Short gold and silver
- Short gold and silver
- Short dollar against Aussie, pound, euro, CAD
- Long Brazil, Mexico, Bitcoin
19:00S&P 500· ticker
Short S&P 500 and NASDAQ
- Short S&P 500 and NASDAQ
- Long bonds
- Looking for liquidation to continue
Informational only — this is tastylive’s content, decoded by Plutus. Not Paid Daily’s advice or a recommendation. The outline, timestamps, and claims are extracted from what the creator said; verify before acting.